Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | dominik aspernig | 9-5 | None |
| Mono-Red Aggro | takenori furuichi | 7-1 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | yuuki fukuda | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Azorius Omniscience , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Control , Mono-Red Aggro
Meta Performance Analysis
Shrapnel Blast ranks #1413 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 28%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Shrapnel Blast is a solid card that performs above average in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 2
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 3.40 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Shrapnel Blast has a win rate of 56.6%, making it 19.1% better than other 2-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roast | Sorcery | 5 | 64.4% | 1 |
| Thopter Spy Network | Enchantment | 5 | 63.8% | 1 |
| Hangarback Walker | Artifact Creature — Construct | 8 | 60.1% | 1 |
| Springleaf Drum | Artifact | 5 | 57.5% | 1 |
| Stubborn Denial | Instant | 5 | 57.1% | 2 |
| Bomat Courier | Artifact Creature — Construct | 5 | 56.8% | 0 |
| Ornithopter | Artifact Creature — Thopter | 6 | 56.2% | 1 |
| Ghostfire Blade | Artifact — Equipment | 8 | 54.7% | 1 |
| Wild Slash | Instant | 7 | 53.8% | 0 |
| Hazoret the Fervent | Legendary Creature — God | 6 | 48.8% | 0 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Shrapnel Blast than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Springleaf Drum | Artifact | 1 | 5 | 70.8% | 56.9% | +13.9% |
| Hangarback Walker | Artifact Creature — Construct | 0 | 5 | 64.5% | 57.1% | +7.4% |
| Ornithopter | Artifact Creature — Thopter | 0 | 5 | 66.7% | 59.2% | +7.4% |
| Negate | Instant | 2 | 6 | 61.5% | 56.5% | +5.0% |
| Hazoret the Fervent | Legendary Creature — God | 4 | 5 | 60.0% | 56.0% | +4.0% |
| Gleeful Demolition | Sorcery | 1 | 8 | 57.1% | 53.3% | +3.8% |
| Reckless Bushwhacker | Creature — Goblin Warrior Ally | 3 | 8 | 57.1% | 56.8% | +0.4% |
| Voldaren Epicure | Creature — Vampire | 1 | 17 | 57.6% | 57.5% | +0.1% |
| Rending Volley | Instant | 1 | 18 | 57.9% | 57.8% | +0.1% |
| Smuggler's Copter | Artifact — Vehicle | 2 | 16 | 53.4% | 53.8% | -0.3% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | 32 | 3.2% | 47.8% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 2 | 0.5% | 43.8% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 25.0% | |
| Azorius Omniscience | 1 | 0.1% | 62.5% |
| Jeskai Control | 1 | 0.3% | 25.0% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.